Iran's Ghalibaf Warns: Strait of Hormuz Will Never Return to Pre-War Normal Amid US Push for Control

Ghalibaf posted on X (formerly Twitter) that "The Strait of Hormuz situation won't return to its pre-war status," without elaborating further but signaling a fundamental shift in the waterway's security dynamics. The statement responds to President Donald Trump's insistence on reopening the strait—handling ~20% of global oil and LNG—through unilateral or coalition naval action under Operation Epic Fury, which has targeted Iranian naval assets, missiles, and energy infrastructure since late February.

Ghalibaf's warning implies Iran will maintain asymmetric threats, potentially through sustained guerrilla-style operations, even if US forces achieve temporary dominance. This defiance aligns with Tehran's broader posture of "total resistance," including the blockade, "yuan for passage" proposals, and rejection of peace talks by Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei.

Compounding tensions, Israel's military vowed on March 17 to "track down, find, and neutralise" Mojtaba Khamenei, following the elimination of Iran's national security chief in airstrikes. Netanyahu earlier issued veiled threats against the new leader, framing the campaign as eliminating threats to Israel and the region.

Global markets reacted sharply: oil prices surged above $103 per barrel amid fears of a "permanently contested" strait. Vulnerable nations face acute pain—Sri Lanka declared a four-day work week starting March 18, imposed fuel rationing (15 liters/week per motorist), and approved emergency spot purchases to stretch dwindling reserves amid the Hormuz squeeze.

The White House dismissed Ghalibaf's remarks, asserting Operation Epic Fury will deliver a "total and permanent cleanup" via overwhelming force. Russia continues aiding Iran with satellite imagery and drones, heightening risks of a prolonged, high-tech stalemate.

As US naval moves loom to force the corridor open, Ghalibaf's ultimatum underscores Tehran's intent to reshape the Persian Gulf's maritime order, potentially ending the strait's era as a reliably secure international passage and risking a "forever war" scenario.